The Industry Standard - Apple App Store hits 1 billion downloads by MacWorld Expo 2009? - Comments

@Tay, I think you're

Eric Hill812251 — Fri, 05 Dec 2008 10:05:53 -0800

@Tay, I think you're probably right. While impressive, it's simply not fast enough to meet the goals of this prediction (IMO).

Apple: 300 million iPhone

Tay Bass — Fri, 05 Dec 2008 09:57:08 -0800

Apple: 300 million iPhone apps downloaded

http://www.macworld.com/article/137352/2008/12/300million.html

Here's a new data point as

Tay Bass — Tue, 21 Oct 2008 14:40:24 -0700

Here's a new data point as of today 10/21/2008. Steve Jobs says the 200 millionth app will be downloaded tomorrow. That's 102 days since its launch on July 11 and 76 days until MacWorld. I'm liking my bet against the prediction.

According to

David Kuan — Tue, 21 Oct 2008 14:39:22 -0700

According to http://www.engadget.com/2008/10/21/apple-q408-results-out-6-9m-iphones-s..., the App Store is only about to hit the 200M download mark. That is a far cry from the 1B mark with only a little more than 2 months to go.

@Tay, there is a major

David Kuan — Wed, 08 Oct 2008 17:32:13 -0700

@Tay, there is a major difference between iTunes songs download vs App Store application downloads. Songs are already for a fee. There are nearly 1000 free applications and 3200 fee applications. Even if the math is right, 55 is only 5% of the available apps out there (not counting the 500 new applications/week addition). A typical mobile phone user would never download so many applications. However, iPhone and iPod Touch are not typical mobile phone users. I suspect the consensus to swing left and right making it much more interesting to play.

Lets see. A billion

Tay Bass — Wed, 08 Oct 2008 14:45:59 -0700

Lets see. A billion downloads divided by 18 million iPhones/iPod Touches out there? That would be an average of 55 applications per device. I'm going to bet against this one purely on the math.

Apple App Store hits 1 billion downloads by MacWorld Expo 2009?

David Kuan — Tue, 07 Oct 2008 12:31:28 -0700

Judgment on January 8, 2009: Apple's App Store downloads failed to hit the billion mark by the start of MacWorld Expo. -- The Industry Standard

Original prediction: The App Store has been wildly successful for Apple. In a mere 7 days after launch of iPhone, the App Store experienced over 10M applications downloaded.

At the Let's Rock event on September 9, Steve Jobs announced yet another milestone for the App Store with over 3,000 applications available and over 100M downloads.

The App Store is also developer friendly as the App Store is seeing the addition of approximately 500 new applications per week added to the library.

Additionally, as Apple pushes for 18M iPhones shipped worldwide in 2008 as well as several millions more of iPod Touch, it is anticipated that the number of downloaded applications will continue rise at a faster pace.

The prediction is that Apple App Store will see at least 1,000,000,000 downloads by MacWorld Expo 2009.